Safe Haven

Plumbing

Highly physical, emergency-driven, licensed. Lower recurring lock-in than HVAC. Solid but less service-agreement upside.

76.5
Index score
79.9
AI-Resilience
73.1
AI-Leverage
3.92
Avg rating (n=11,748)

The two axes

AI-Resilience

79.9
Physical/on-site coreHow much of the paid work requires hands-on, on-site skilled labor an AI agent cannot perform.
92
Disintermediation resistanceHow hard it is for an AI agent or platform to bypass the contractor and go direct.
74
AI-native entry barrierLicensing, trust, relationships, and physical presence that block AI-native new entrants.
78
Customer lock-inService agreements, recurring maintenance, and relationships that retain customers.
68

AI-Leverage

73.1
Coordination/back-office dragShare of cost/time in coordination, estimating, scheduling, billing — the work AI can orchestrate.
72
Operating-leverage step-changeMargin recoverable from mis-costed jobs, rework, billing lag, and cash trapped in open work.
78
Revenue expansionUpside from better bidding, pull-through, and new service lines AI can unlock.
68
Domain-data amplificationHow much the trade's proprietary job data compounds in value with AI (Level's core thesis).
74

Sub-score weights and definitions: methodology.

The research

Labor & workforce

Median Hourly Wage$30.27
Us Employment504,500
Projected 10yr Growth4%

Labor Shortage Note. BLS projects approximately 44,000 annual job openings for plumbers, pipefitters, and steamfitters through 2034, primarily driven by retirements and workforce exits. Additionally, PHCC reports that roughly half of plumbing-heating-cooling employers experience difficulty finding skilled applicants for open positions.

Sources (5)
  • U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Outlook Handbook
  • 2024
  • U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Outlook Handbook, 2024
  • U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Projections 2024–2034
  • U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Outlook Handbook (2024), Plumbing-Heating-Cooling Contractors Association (PHCC) Environmental Scan (2025), https://www.phccweb.org

Market size & structure

Industry Revenue$191.4B
Num Establishments128,787
Fragmentation NoteThe US plumbing contracting industry is highly fragmented with low market share concentration, with no single company holding a market share greater than 5%.
Sources (2)
  • IBISWorld, Plumbers in the US Report (February 2026)
  • 2026

Unit economics

Gross Margin22.4%
Net Margin7.7%
Labor Pct Of Revenue28.5
Revenue Per Employee$384K
Sources (3)
  • CFMA 2025 Construction Financial Benchmarker (Specialty Trades NAICS 238220, FY2024 Data)
  • IBISWorld Industry Report 23822b: Plumbers in the US (2024)
  • Comfort Systems USA, Inc. FY2024 Form 10-K (Filed Feb 20, 2025)

Cash cycle

Dso Days57
Retainage10%
Days To Payment83

Cashflow Note. 53% of subcontractors report dipping into personal retirement savings to float business expenses due to payment delays, and slow payments cost the U.S. construction industry $280 billion in 2024.

Sources (4)
  • Levelset / Sageworks Construction Industry DSO Study, 2019
  • Levelset National Construction Payment Report, 2019
  • Levelset & PwC Construction Cash Flow Survey, 2021
  • CFMA (Construction Financial Management Association), 2024

AI exposure

Ai Resistant Work. Physical, on-site tasks in plumbing remain highly resistant to AI and robotics due to the unstructured, unpredictable nature of real-world job sites. Hands-on work—such as crawling under foundations, cutting and soldering copper pipes, threading gas lines, installing fixtures, performing manual leak repairs, and troubleshooting legacy piping systems—requires physical dexterity, tactile feedback, and spatial reasoning. Research by the McKinsey Global Institute highlights that unpredictable physical environments make skilled trades like plumbing among the least vulnerable to automation. Additionally, AI pioneer Geoffrey Hinton publicly noted in 2024/2025 that plumbing is one of the safest careers from AI disruption because algorithms cannot replicate physical presence and situational adaptability on-site. Housecall Pro's Spring 2025 Industry Trends Report corroborated this, finding that 73% of trade contractors reported AI has not reduced field hiring, as hands-on installations, diagnostics, and building customer trust remain strictly human.

Automatable Work. Back-office administration, customer coordination, dispatching, and estimating represent the most automatable operations in the plumbing trade. Key automatable tasks include: (1) 24/7 Call Answering & Triage—AI voice agents handle inbound calls on the first ring, triage emergency water leaks, collect job details, and book appointments without human intervention; (2) Intelligent Dispatch & Scheduling—machine learning algorithms optimize technician routing by analyzing real-time traffic, technician location, skill requirements, and job profitability; (3) Automated Field Estimating—software generates multi-option 'Good-Better-Best' quotes using site photos, standard rate books, and historical cost data; and (4) Workflow Follow-ups & Accounting Sync—automated systems send 'on-my-way' SMS alerts, follow up on unclosed proposals, request post-service reviews, and sync job data directly with accounting platforms like QuickBooks.

Adoption Examples. Industry studies and software platform reports document rapid software-driven AI adoption across US plumbing contractors. According to Housecall Pro's Spring 2025 Industry Survey (400+ trade business owners), over 70% of respondents had adopted AI tools, with active users recovering an average of 3.2 hours per week (~160 hours annually) in reduced administrative burden. Industry data from 2024–2026 shows 68% of plumbing contractors with 10+ technicians have implemented AI-powered automation, with adoption concentrated in emergency dispatch (73%), automated customer messaging (61%), and dynamic scheduling optimization (58%). Leading platforms driving adoption include ServiceTitan (incorporating Atlas AI for dispatch and reporting), Housecall Pro (offering AI teams and trade-specific packages), and purpose-built tools like QuoteIQ and Fixlify AI (providing photo-based estimating and 24/7 AI call answering).

Sources (5)
  • McKinsey Global Institute (2018) - 'Skill shift: Automation and the future of the workforce' -
  • PHCPPros / PHCC Educational Foundation (2025) - 'Why the Godfather of AI Thinks You Should Become a Plumber' -
  • Housecall Pro (2025) - 'Spring 2025 Trades Industry Trends Report: AI in the Skilled Trades' -
  • Contractor Magazine (2026) - 'Housecall Pro Launches HVAC, Plumbing and Electrical Packages' -
  • QuoteIQ (2026) - 'Top 10 AI Tools for Plumbing Businesses in 2026' -

M&A & consolidation

Consolidation Activity. The US plumbing trade is experiencing highly active private-equity roll-up and buy-and-build consolidation, frequently integrated with HVAC and electrical trades to build multi-service residential platforms. More than 50% of top US plumbing companies are PE-backed, driven by a fragmented market structure where over 75% of operators remain independent, non-discretionary emergency service demand, and recurring service-agreement membership plans. Private equity sponsors have deployed over $25 billion into residential home services platforms over the past eight years, completing hundreds of add-on acquisitions.

Typical Ebitda Multiple. Acquisition multiples vary significantly by business scale, recurring revenue mix, and deal structure: small add-on acquisitions (sub-$2M EBITDA) trade at 3.5x–6.5x EBITDA; platform-quality regional businesses ($2M–$10M EBITDA) command 6x–11x EBITDA; and large national platform recapitalizations command mid-to-high teens multiples of 16x–20x EBITDA (e.g., Blackstone acquiring Champions Group at ~18.5x EBITDA).

Notable Acquirers Or Deals. Notable PE platforms and transactions in the space include: Apex Service Partners (Alpine Investors; closed a $3.4B continuation vehicle), Champions Group (acquired by Blackstone in February 2026 for ~$2.5B at ~18.5x EBITDA), Sila Services (majority acquired by Goldman Sachs Alternatives from Morgan Stanley Capital Partners in November 2024 for ~$1.7B), Wrench Group (backed by Leonard Green & Partners, TSG Consumer Partners, Oak Hill Capital), Redwood Services (backed by Altas Partners), and ARS - Rescue Rooter.

Sources (6)
  • CT Acquisitions, 'Plumbing Business Valuation in 2026: Multiples & PE Buyer Demand' (2026, ); First Page Sage & Mainstreet Wealth, 'EBITDA Multiples Across Home Services' (2026, https://mainstreetwealth.ai); Lightning Path Partners, 'Plumbing EBITDA Multiples' (2026, https://lightningpathpartners.com).
  • CT Acquisitions, 'Plumbing Business Valuation in 2026: Multiples & PE Buyer Demand' (2026) -
  • Mainstreet Wealth / First Page Sage, 'EBITDA Multiples Across Home Services' (2026) -
  • Echelon Reports, 'Wrench Group and Home Services Platform Landscape' (2026) -
  • Catalyst for the Trades, 'Private Equity Consolidation in Home Services' (2026) -
  • Lightning Path Partners, 'Plumbing EBITDA Multiples: What Buyers Are Actually Paying' (2026) -

Technology stack

Dominant Fsm Software. ServiceTitan is the market-leading field service management (FSM) platform for mid-to-large US plumbing contractors (controlling ~22% of the enterprise home services market with 100,000+ trade pros), while Jobber and Housecall Pro dominate the small-to-midsize plumbing market (serving over 250,000 to 350,000 service professionals). Other common trade platforms include FieldEdge, FieldPulse, and Service Fusion.

Common Accounting Software. Intuit QuickBooks (both QuickBooks Online and QuickBooks Desktop) is the predominant accounting system used by US plumbing contractors across all tiers. Mid-market and commercial plumbing contractors also utilize Sage (Sage Intacct / Sage 100 Contractor) and Oracle NetSuite.

Adoption Or Integration Note. According to the PHCC (Plumbing-Heating-Cooling Contractors Association) Technology Survey, 46% of plumbing businesses use dedicated FSM or scheduling software. However, a significant integration gap persists: the JBKnowledge Construction Technology Report indicates that only 5.5% of trade contractors have full integration across all their software tools, and nearly 50% manually re-key data or use spreadsheets to bridge field operations with back-office accounting.

Sources (4)
  • PHCC (Plumbing-Heating-Cooling Contractors Association), 2024 Plumbing Technology Survey
  • JBKnowledge, 2017 & 2023 Construction Technology Reports
  • Jobber, 2024-2025 State of Home Service Report
  • ServiceTitan, 2025 Plumbing Industry Overview and QuickBooks Guide

Market structure

National permit and contractor-density aggregates from public county tax-assessor and building-permit records. Aggregate-only; no individual property or business identified.

Building permits (national)

YearPermitsContractorsMedian job valueP90 job value
20221,381,08069,703$10K$410K
20231,544,70368,480$11K$452K
2024978,45861,922$11K$453K

Contractor size tiers

Size tierContractorsAvg total permit value
Micro (5-19)43,929$2.87M
Small (20-99)21,130$12.42M
Mid (100-499)5,340$52.13M
Large (500+)1,024$268.98M

Top states by permit volume

StatePermitsContractorsMedian job value
CA486,87624,799$8K
FL476,25020,506$3K
TX468,35015,229$3K
OR188,1234,489$1K
NC187,75110,392$62K
CO186,4994,221$8K
WI146,5211,854$4K
GA133,2533,013$50K
AZ118,9423,576$130K
MA108,4856,436$11K

Reputation & professionalization

Public business-review listings (aggregated April 2026). Aggregate only; no individual business identified.

Businesses analyzed11,748
Average rating3.92
Rating (p25 / median / p75)3.1 / 4.2 / 4.9
Reviews (median / p90)7 / 41
Claimed listings68.7%
Marked closed4.8%

Level CFO benchmarks & public-company reads

Level · https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (free to cite with attribution to Level, levelcfo.com)

MetricValueDetailTier
Plumber median wage (SOC 47-2152)$62,970/yrMean $69,940, ~456,000 employed, median hourly ~$30.27; 10th pct $40,670, 90th $105,150. A
MEP public-company gross margin (plumbing exposure)21% to 28%Comfort Systems 21-24%, Limbach 26-28% (FY2024-2025). Diversified MEP with plumbing/piping. A
MEP public-company net margin6% to 11%Limbach ~6%, Comfort Systems 7-11% (FY2024-2025). A
All-contractor net profit before tax6.3% (top quartile ~11.9%)The reality-check on what a healthy contractor nets. B
US plumbing contractor market size~$124-191B, ~129,000 firmsFragmented; no firm above ~5% share. Range reflects differing report scopes. B
Service vs new-construction gross marginservice ~40-70%, new construction ~10-32%Directional; service/repair carries far higher gross margin than new-construction install. C

Public-company validators

Public-equity comps as an external market-validation axis. Large scaled operators; read as an upper reference, not a typical private contractor.

Company1y returnGross marginEV/EBITDAMarket cap
Frontdoor, Inc. (FTDR)20.5%55.3%11.6$5.26B
Rollins, Inc. (ROL)-22.4%52.6%26.36$21.72B

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