The Trade Economy Index · 2026 Edition

About the index

A scoreboard for how the U.S. skilled trades fare as AI reshapes the economy. AI cannot swing the wrench, but it can run the shop around the crew that does. This index measures both sides of that.

Why this exists

Most commentary about AI and work sorts jobs into “safe” and “exposed.” The skilled trades get waved through as safe and left there. That misses the real story. The trades are protected because the work is physical and on-site, and at the same time they are among the biggest beneficiaries of AI, because so much of their cost is coordination, estimating, scheduling, billing, and cash collection that AI can now orchestrate. This index scores both: how protected each trade is (AI-Resilience) and how much profit AI can unlock around the labor (AI-Leverage).

What it is grounded in

Every score traces back to public data plus disclosed aggregate operating benchmarks:

See the full methodology for the weighted sub-scores, and the data page for every machine-readable file.

On independence

This index is compiled by Sam Yang at Level CFO. Level is a finance and advisory firm that serves contractors in several of the trades scored here, and it owns some of the aggregate operating data cited. We say that plainly rather than dress the index up as third-party research. The scoring model and every source are published so anyone can check the work. The data pages are kept clean and citable; the one place we ask for anything is the “where does your shop stand” tool, where an owner can compare their own numbers and, if they want, book a free diagnostic.

Who compiled it

Sam Yang
Stanford MBABrown UniversityEx-CFO · trades, SaaS & servicesDirector of Growth Product · contractor softwarePrivate equity & investment banking~$2.5B in M&A, roll-ups & IPOs

Sam Yang compiled the index. He has been a CFO across trade contractors, SaaS, and service businesses; spent four years as Director of Growth Product at a leading commercial-contractor software platform, building financial tooling used by 1,000+ contractors; and four years in private equity and investment banking rolling up and acquiring service businesses, roughly $2.5B in total transactions. Stanford MBA, Brown undergrad.

That mix, operating finance, software, and deal work, is why the index scores both sides of the AI question rather than one: what the numbers say about a trade’s labor and economics, and what technology can and cannot change about it. It is not a software pitch. Every score traces to public data and disclosed benchmarks, and the model is published so anyone can check it.

LinkedIn · Level CFO

Want your own numbers on the board?

The index shows where your trade stands. A one-hour diagnostic shows where your shop stands, job by job.

See where you stand →

Contact: [email protected] · levelcfo.com